Norwich vs Bolton

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Norwich favourites at 61% (Bolton 20%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 2.10 to 1.09, 5 wins in Norwich's last 10 matches to 3 for Bolton and 7 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. It put over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams scoring at 58%. Bolton won 4-3, against the model's 61% for Norwich.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 16 Feb 2019, when Norwich won 4-0.