NAC Breda vs Maastricht

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made NAC Breda favourites at 55% (Maastricht 27%, draw 18%). That rests on expected goals of 2.54 to 1.77 and 8 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. It put over 2.5 goals at 79% and both teams scoring at 75%. NAC Breda won 1-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 29 Mar 2024, when Maastricht won 2-1.
• 8 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.