Football · Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Maastricht vs Venlo
Saturday, 31 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Venlo favourites at 73% (Maastricht 13%, draw 14%). That rests on expected goals of 2.97 to 1.23, Venlo sitting 3rd in the table to Maastricht's 10th and 7 wins in Venlo's last 10 matches to 2 for Maastricht. Bookmakers give Venlo about 46% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 70% and both teams scoring at 60%.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals came in 7 of Maastricht's last 10 matches and 9 of Venlo's.
- Venlo scored in every one of their last 10 matches.
- They last met on 13 Mar 2026, when Maastricht won 2-1.
- Venlo have scored in all of their last 5 away games.
- Venlo concede 2 goals a game away from home.
Netherlands•Eerste Divisie
vs
Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 18:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 4-1-5
Last 10 matches
1010
10/3029/16
1.002.90
3.001.60
7/1010/10
3/1010/10
9/107/10
6/104/10
1/103/10
3/100/10
9/1010/10
7/109/10
6/107/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Maastricht at homeVenlo away
45
1/43/5
1/40/5
2/42/5
1.002.80
2.502.00
3/45/5
1/45/5
0/43/5
3/44/5
2/43/5
1/41/5
1/40/5
2/45/5
2/44/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Maastricht: 1.23
Expected Goals
Venlo: 2.97
Maastricht
13%
Draw
14%
Venlo
73%
Over 2.5: 70%
BTTS: 60%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 8.6%
1 — Maastricht
3.10▼
Implied 30%
Edge -16.7%
X
3.80▲
Implied 24%
Edge -10.2%
2 — Venlo
2.00▲
Implied 46%
Edge +26.9%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Maastricht · # = league position now
23 Oct2026
Den Bosch#13 vs Maastricht#10
2-2D
18 Oct2026
Maastricht#10 vs Heracles#1
1-5L
09 Oct2026
Nac Breda#6 vs Maastricht#10
1-0L
03 Oct2026
Oss#14 vs Maastricht#10
4-1L
26 Sept2026
Maastricht#10 vs Helmond#19
2-0W
18 Sept2026
Waalwijk#11 vs Maastricht#10
6-1L
11 Sept2026
Maastricht#10 vs Almere City#4
0-4L
06 Sept2026
Maastricht#10 vs Roda#5
1-1D
28 Aug2026
Jong az#8 vs Maastricht#10
1-2W
25 Aug2026
Genk U23 vs Maastricht#10
6-0L
Team 2 Form
Venlo · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Dordrecht#17 vs Venlo#3
2-4W
16 Oct2026
Venlo#3 vs Jong az#8
4-4D
09 Oct2026
Jong Ajax#15 vs Venlo#3
0-3W
04 Oct2026
Venlo#3 vs Roda#5
2-0W
26 Sept2026
fc Volendam#7 vs Venlo#3
3-2L
18 Sept2026
Jong Utrecht#20 vs Venlo#3
1-3W
11 Sept2026
Venlo#3 vs Oss#14
3-1W
04 Sept2026
Helmond#19 vs Venlo#3
4-2L
30 Aug2026
Venlo#3 vs fc Emmen#2
4-0W
23 Aug2026
Venlo#3 vs de Graafschap#16
2-1W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
13 Mar2026
Maastricht#10 vs Venlo#3
2-1•
21 Sept2025
Venlo#3 vs Maastricht#10
1-0•
09 Feb2025
Venlo#3 vs Maastricht#10
0-0•
13 Oct2024
Maastricht#10 vs Venlo#3
2-0•
10 May2024
Maastricht#10 vs Venlo#3
2-0•
13 Aug2023
Venlo#3 vs Maastricht#10
1-3•
03 Mar2023
Maastricht#10 vs Venlo#3
0-1•
11 Dec2022
Venlo#3 vs Maastricht#10
2-1•
04 Feb2022
Maastricht#10 vs Venlo#3
0-5•
09 Oct2021
Venlo#3 vs Maastricht#10
2-0•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Maastricht
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