Morton vs Raith

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Raith favourites at 85% (Morton 2%, draw 13%). That rests on expected goals of 2.09 to 0.10 and 5 wins in Raith's last 10 matches to 0 for Morton. It put over 2.5 goals at 34% and both teams scoring at 26%. Raith won 2-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Morton have lost 4 matches in a row.
• They last met on 11 Apr 2026, when Raith won 3-2.