Football · Championship · Scotland
Arbroath vs Raith
Saturday, 31 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Raith favourites at 67% (Arbroath 11%, draw 22%). That rests on expected goals of 1.62 to 0.46, Raith sitting 3rd in the table to Arbroath's 8th and 5 wins in Raith's last 10 matches to 3 for Arbroath. It puts over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams scoring at 30%.
Key facts
- Arbroath have lost 4 matches in a row.
- Raith kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
- They last met on 12 Sept 2026, when Raith won 4-0.
- 8 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.
Scotland•Championship
vs
Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 18:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 3-3-4
Last 10 matches
1010
7/1613/7
0.701.30
1.600.70
5/106/10
2/105/10
9/105/10
4/102/10
1/105/10
5/104/10
7/108/10
5/102/10
4/102/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Arbroath at homeRaith away
45
2/42/5
1/42/5
1/41/5
1.251.00
1.000.60
4/43/5
1/42/5
0/40/5
3/43/5
1/40/5
1/42/5
0/42/5
2/41/5
3/42/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Arbroath: 0.46
Expected Goals
Raith: 1.62
Arbroath
11%
Draw
22%
Raith
67%
Over 2.5: 44%
BTTS: 30%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 8.7%
1 — Arbroath
4.10▲
Implied 22%
Edge -11.4%
X
3.30▲
Implied 28%
Edge -5.9%
2 — Raith
1.85▼
Implied 50%
Edge +17.3%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Arbroath · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Livingston#6 vs Arbroath#8
1-0L
17 Oct2026
Inverness#5 vs Arbroath#8
2-0L
10 Oct2026
Arbroath#8 vs Morton#9
1-2L
03 Oct2026
Partick Thistle#1 vs Arbroath#8
3-0L
25 Sept2026
Arbroath#8 vs Queen's Park#10
2-1W
19 Sept2026
Stenhousemuir#2 vs Arbroath#8
1-0L
12 Sept2026
Raith#3 vs Arbroath#8
4-0L
05 Sept2026
Arbroath#8 vs Dunfermline#4
1-1D
29 Aug2026
Arbroath#8 vs Livingston#6
1-0W
22 Aug2026
Morton#9 vs Arbroath#8
1-2W
Team 2 Form
Raith · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Raith#3 vs Inverness#5
0-2L
17 Oct2026
Stenhousemuir#2 vs Raith#3
1-1D
10 Oct2026
Raith#3 vs Queen's Park#10
2-0W
03 Oct2026
Morton#9 vs Raith#3
1-2W
25 Sept2026
Raith#3 vs Livingston#6
0-2L
19 Sept2026
Partick Thistle#1 vs Raith#3
0-0D
12 Sept2026
Raith#3 vs Arbroath#8
4-0W
05 Sept2026
Inverness#5 vs Raith#3
0-2W
28 Aug2026
Dunfermline#4 vs Raith#3
1-0L
22 Aug2026
Raith#3 vs Ayr#7
2-0W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
12 Sept2026
Raith#3 vs Arbroath#8
4-0•
18 Apr2026
Arbroath#8 vs Raith#3
2-1•
10 Jan2026
Raith#3 vs Arbroath#8
2-3•
22 Nov2025
Arbroath#8 vs Raith#3
0-0•
27 Sept2025
Raith#3 vs Arbroath#8
3-0•
03 May2024
Raith#3 vs Arbroath#8
5-0•
01 Mar2024
Arbroath#8 vs Raith#3
3-2•
30 Dec2023
Raith#3 vs Arbroath#8
2-2•
13 Dec2023
Arbroath#8 vs Raith#3
1-2•
15 Apr2023
Raith#3 vs Arbroath#8
1-1•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Arbroath
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