Metz vs Guingamp

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Metz favourites at 68% (Guingamp 16%, draw 16%). That rests on expected goals of 2.42 to 1.07 and 5 wins in Metz's last 10 matches to 0 for Guingamp. It put over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams scoring at 61%. Metz won 2-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Guingamp have gone 10 matches without a win.
• They last met on 15 Feb 2025, when Metz won 3-0.