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Football · Ligue 2 · France

Guingamp vs St Etienne

Saturday, 31 October 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes St Etienne favourites at 74% (Guingamp 11%, draw 15%). That rests on expected goals of 2.37 to 0.76, St Etienne sitting 1st in the table to Guingamp's 11th and 8 wins in St Etienne's last 10 matches to 4 for Guingamp. It puts over 2.5 goals at 70% and both teams scoring at 62%.

Key facts

  • St Etienne have won 4 matches in a row.
  • St Etienne scored in every one of their last 10 matches.
  • Guingamp have scored in all of their last 6 home games.
  • They last met on 14 Feb 2026, when St Etienne won 2-1.
  • 8 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.
France•Ligue 2
Rank 11 · 11 pts
W6d
L13d
L20d
W27d
L40d
W47d
D54d
D61d
L69d
W76d
4W · 2D · 4L
vs
Rank 1 · 25 pts
W5d
W12d
W19d
W27d
D40d
L47d
W54d
W59d
W68d
W76d
8W · 1D · 1L
Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 22:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 4-1-5
Last 10 matches
1010
14/1425/9
1.402.50
1.400.90
8/1010/10
5/107/10
8/106/10
4/103/10
2/104/10
2/100/10
7/108/10
6/107/10
6/106/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Guingamp at homest Etienne away
64
3/62/4
1/61/4
2/61/4
1.671.75
1.671.50
6/64/4
3/62/4
1/61/4
5/63/4
3/63/4
1/61/4
0/60/4
5/63/4
5/63/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Guingamp: 0.76
Expected Goals
st Etienne: 2.37
Guingamp
11%
Draw
15%
st Etienne
74%
Over 2.5: 70%
BTTS: 62%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 7.9%
1 — Guingamp
4.10▼
Implied 23%
Edge -11.6%
X
3.70▲
Implied 25%
Edge -10.0%
2 — St Etienne
1.77
Implied 52%
Edge +21.6%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Guingamp · # = league position now
23 Oct2026
Clermont#17 vs Guingamp#11
0-2W
16 Oct2026
Guingamp#11 vs Pau fc#5
1-2L
09 Oct2026
Nancy#3 vs Guingamp#11
1-0L
02 Oct2026
Guingamp#11 vs le Mans#15
2-1W
19 Sept2026
Guingamp#11 vs Red Star#6
1-3L
12 Sept2026
Guingamp#11 vs Annecy#7
2-1W
05 Sept2026
Reims#4 vs Guingamp#11
2-2D
29 Aug2026
Guingamp#11 vs Nantes#15
3-3D
21 Aug2026
Sochaux#12 vs Guingamp#11
1-0L
14 Aug2026
Guingamp#11 vs Boulogne#13
1-0W
Team 2 Form
st Etienne · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
st Etienne#1 vs Nantes#15
1-0W
17 Oct2026
Red Star#6 vs st Etienne#1
0-1W
10 Oct2026
st Etienne#1 vs Rodez#14
2-0W
02 Oct2026
st Etienne#1 vs Sion#3
5-1W
19 Sept2026
Metz#8 vs st Etienne#1
2-2D
12 Sept2026
Dunkerque#10 vs st Etienne#1
2-1L
05 Sept2026
st Etienne#1 vs Montpellier#2
3-1W
31 Aug2026
Dijon#9 vs st Etienne#1
2-3W
22 Aug2026
st Etienne#1 vs Grenoble#16
4-0W
14 Aug2026
st Etienne#1 vs Clermont#17
3-1W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
14 Feb2026
Guingamp#11 vs st Etienne#1
1-2•
27 Sept2025
st Etienne#1 vs Guingamp#11
2-3•
04 May2024
Guingamp#11 vs st Etienne#1
2-2•
05 Dec2023
st Etienne#1 vs Guingamp#11
1-3•
06 May2023
st Etienne#1 vs Guingamp#11
3-2•
17 Sept2022
Guingamp#11 vs st Etienne#1
2-1•
12 Jan2019
Guingamp#11 vs st Etienne#1
0-1•
11 Aug2018
st Etienne#1 vs Guingamp#11
2-1•
18 Mar2018
st Etienne#1 vs Guingamp#11
2-0•
20 Dec2017
Guingamp#11 vs st Etienne#1
2-1•

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