Marseille vs Strasbourg

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Marseille favourites at 53% (Strasbourg 28%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 2.11 to 1.48, 5 wins in Marseille's last 9 matches to 2 for Strasbourg and 3 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams scoring at 68%. Marseille won 4-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Strasbourg have gone 6 matches without a win.
• They last met on 14 Feb 2026, when it finished 2-2.