Football · Ligue 1 · France
Marseille vs Le Havre
Sunday, 25 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Marseille favourites at 66% (Le Havre 16%, draw 18%). That rests on expected goals of 2.10 to 0.92, Marseille sitting 10th in the table to Le Havre's 18th and 10 wins from the last 10 meetings to 0. Bookmakers give Marseille about 61% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view. It puts over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams scoring at 55%.
Key facts
- They last met on 10 May 2026, when Marseille won 1-0.
France•Ligue 1
vs
Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 19:15
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 10-0-0
Last 10 matches
1010
15/1614/15
1.501.40
1.601.50
6/107/10
4/103/10
8/108/10
5/104/10
2/102/10
4/103/10
7/106/10
5/105/10
4/106/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Marseille at homele Havre away
45
1/41/5
0/41/5
3/43/5
1.751.20
1.501.60
3/44/5
2/42/5
1/40/5
3/44/5
2/42/5
1/41/5
1/41/5
3/42/5
2/43/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Marseille: 2.1
Expected Goals
le Havre: 0.92
Marseille
66%
Draw
18%
le Havre
16%
Over 2.5: 61%
BTTS: 55%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 5.5%
1 — Marseille
1.55▼
Implied 61%
Edge +4.8%
X
4.60▲
Implied 21%
Edge -2.6%
2 — Le Havre
5.20
Implied 18%
Edge -2.2%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Marseille · # = league position now
22 Oct2026
Sturm Graz#4 vs Marseille#10
1-0L
18 Oct2026
Angers#15 vs Marseille#10
2-5W
15 Oct2026
Marseille#10 vs Olympiacos Piraeus#2
0-1L
11 Oct2026
Troyes#17 vs Marseille#10
0-2W
20 Sept2026
Marseille#10 vs Psg#2
1-2L
17 Sept2026
Besiktas#6 vs Marseille#10
4-1L
11 Sept2026
Rennes#6 vs Marseille#10
1-0L
06 Sept2026
Marseille#10 vs Paris fc#3
2-3L
30 Aug2026
Monaco#5 vs Marseille#10
2-0L
21 Aug2026
Marseille#10 vs Strasbourg#14
4-0W
Team 2 Form
le Havre · # = league position now
18 Oct2026
le Havre#18 vs Auxerre#13
1-3L
10 Oct2026
Lille#4 vs le Havre#18
1-0L
02 Oct2026
le Havre#18 vs Boulogne#13
6-1W
19 Sept2026
Toulouse#12 vs le Havre#18
3-2L
12 Sept2026
le Havre#18 vs Angers#15
0-0D
05 Sept2026
le Havre#18 vs Brest#11
1-2L
29 Aug2026
Lyon#1 vs le Havre#18
1-1D
23 Aug2026
le Havre#18 vs Monaco#5
0-1L
15 Aug2026
le Mans#16 vs le Havre#18
0-1W
08 Aug2026
Oviedo#9 vs le Havre#18
3-2L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
10 May2026
le Havre#18 vs Marseille#10
0-1•
18 Oct2025
Marseille#10 vs le Havre#18
6-2•
10 May2025
le Havre#18 vs Marseille#10
1-3•
05 Jan2025
Marseille#10 vs le Havre#18
5-1•
19 May2024
le Havre#18 vs Marseille#10
1-2•
08 Oct2023
Marseille#10 vs le Havre#18
3-0•
22 Jan2012
Marseille#10 vs le Havre#18
3-1•
17 Jan2009
Marseille#10 vs le Havre#18
2-0•
23 Aug2008
le Havre#18 vs Marseille#10
0-1•
08 Jan2006
Marseille#10 vs le Havre#18
4-0•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Marseille
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