Manchester City vs Sunderland

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Manchester City favourites at 78% (Sunderland 7%, draw 15%). That rests on expected goals of 2.15 to 0.45, 8 wins in Manchester City's last 10 matches to 6 for Sunderland and 8 wins from the last 10 meetings to 0. It put over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams scoring at 36%. Manchester City won 5-3, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Manchester City have won 6 matches in a row.
• They last met on 1 Jan 2026, when it finished 0-0.