Maastricht vs Heracles

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Heracles favourites at 82% (Maastricht 7%, draw 11%). That rests on expected goals of 2.94 to 0.74, 8 wins in Heracles's last 10 matches to 4 for Maastricht and 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. It put over 2.5 goals at 70% and both teams scoring at 55%. Heracles won 5-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 13 Feb 2023, when Heracles won 2-0.
• 8 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.