Lyon vs Nice

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Lyon favourites at 66% (Nice 14%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 1.79 to 0.63, 5 wins in Lyon's last 10 matches to 3 for Nice and 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 3. It put over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams scoring at 40%. Lyon won 2-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 15 Feb 2026, when Lyon won 2-0.