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Football · Premier League · Russia

Lokomotiv Moscow vs Spartak Moscow

Sunday, 01 November 2026

Match preview

The model makes Spartak Moscow favourites at 61% (Lokomotiv Moscow 19%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 1.93 to 0.93, Spartak Moscow sitting 5th in the table to Lokomotiv Moscow's 13th, 6 wins in Spartak Moscow's last 10 matches to 3 for Lokomotiv Moscow and 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 3. Bookmakers give Spartak Moscow about 55% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams scoring at 56%.

Key facts

They last met on 11 Jul 2026, when Lokomotiv Moscow won 2-0.
8 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.

Russia•Premier League

Lokomotiv Moscow(3)

Rank 13 · 11 pts

L4d

D12d

D16d

W19d

W26d

L33d

D43d

L47d

W53d

D58d

3W · 4D · 3L

Spartak Moscow(6)

Rank 5 · 23 pts

W1d

L4d

W11d

W14d

D19d

W43d

W46d

L53d

W57d

D60d

6W · 2D · 2L

Sunday, 01 November 2026 at 19:45

H2H: 3-1-6

Last 10 matches

1010

14/1119/9

1.401.90

1.100.90

7/109/10

3/104/10

6/106/10

4/103/10

4/104/10

3/101/10

8/108/10

3/105/10

4/105/10

Home & away form · from last 10 matches

Lokomotiv Moscow at homeSpartak Moscow away

1/51/4

3/51/4

1/52/4

1.401.50

1.401.75

4/53/4

2/51/4

1/51/4

4/54/4

2/53/4

1/50/4

1/51/4

1/52/4

3/53/4

Model Prediction

Expected Goals

Lokomotiv Moscow: 0.93

Expected Goals

Spartak Moscow: 1.93

Lokomotiv Moscow

19%

Draw

20%

Spartak Moscow

61%

Over 2.5: 56%

BTTS: 56%

Quality: high

Market Odds (1X2)

Vig 4.3%

1 — Lokomotiv Moscow

4.40▲

Implied 22%

Edge -2.8%

4.10▲

Implied 23%

Edge -3.4%

2 — Spartak Moscow

1.75▼

Implied 55%

Edge +6.2%

Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.

Team 1 Form

Lokomotiv Moscow · # = league position now

25 Oct2026

fk Rostov#7 vs Lokomotiv Moscow#13

2-0L

17 Oct2026

Lokomotiv Moscow#13 vs Krasnodar#4

3-3D

13 Oct2026

Lokomotiv Moscow#13 vs Akron Togliatti#12

1-1D

10 Oct2026

Fakel Voronezh#16 vs Lokomotiv Moscow#13

0-5W

03 Oct2026

Lokomotiv Moscow#13 vs Orenburg#6

2-0W

26 Sept2026

Lokomotiv Moscow#13 vs Arsenal Tula#10

0-2L

16 Sept2026

Lokomotiv Moscow#13 vs Krylya Sovetov#8

1-1D

12 Sept2026

Zenit#1 vs Lokomotiv Moscow#13

2-1L

06 Sept2026

Baltika#9 vs Lokomotiv Moscow#13

0-1W

01 Sept2026

Akron Togliatti#12 vs Lokomotiv Moscow#13

0-0D

Team 2 Form

Spartak Moscow · # = league position now

28 Oct2026

Spartak Moscow#5 vs Rubin Kazan#11

1-0W

25 Oct2026

Cska Moscow#3 vs Spartak Moscow#5

2-0L

18 Oct2026

Spartak Moscow#5 vs Rubin Kazan#11

4-0W

15 Oct2026

Rodina Moscow#15 vs Spartak Moscow#5

2-4W

10 Oct2026

Krylya Sovetov#8 vs Spartak Moscow#5

1-1D

16 Sept2026

Spartak Moscow#5 vs Fakel Voronezh#16

1-0W

13 Sept2026

Spartak Moscow#5 vs fk Rostov#7

3-0W

06 Sept2026

Dynamo Moscow#2 vs Spartak Moscow#5

2-1L

02 Sept2026

Spartak Moscow#5 vs Rodina Moscow#15

3-1W

30 Aug2026

Spartak Moscow#5 vs Orenburg#6

1-1D

Head-to-Head

Last 10 · # = league position now

11 Jul2026