SMO◦ANCE

Match Intelligence

Live API

Football · Premier League · Russia

Lokomotiv Moscow vs Rubin Kazan

Friday, 06 November 2026

Match preview

The model makes Lokomotiv Moscow favourites at 50% (Rubin Kazan 27%, draw 23%). That rests on expected goals of 1.60 to 1.08 and 3 wins in Lokomotiv Moscow's last 10 matches to 1 for Rubin Kazan. Bookmakers give Lokomotiv Moscow about 48% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view. It puts over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams scoring at 50%.

Key facts

Rubin Kazan have lost 5 matches in a row.
Lokomotiv Moscow are 13th in Premier League on 11 points from 12 games; Rubin Kazan are 11th on 12.
They last met on 18 Jul 2026, when Lokomotiv Moscow won 3-1.

Russia•Premier League

Lokomotiv Moscow(5)

Rank 13 · 11 pts

L0d

L4d

D12d

D16d

W19d

W26d

L33d

D43d

L47d

W53d

3W · 3D · 4L

Rubin Kazan(4)

Rank 11 · 12 pts

L1d

L5d

L11d

L14d

L18d

D43d

D47d

D52d

D57d

W60d

1W · 4D · 5L

Friday, 06 November 2026 at 19:30

H2H: 5-1-4

Last 10 matches

1010

15/148/17

1.500.80

1.401.70

8/106/10

3/101/10

7/1010/10

5/103/10

3/100/10

2/104/10

9/108/10

4/103/10

5/106/10

Home & away form · from last 10 matches

Lokomotiv Moscow at homeRubin Kazan away

1/50/5

3/53/5

1/52/5

1.400.60

1.401.60

4/53/5

2/50/5

1/50/5

4/55/5

2/51/5

1/50/5

1/52/5

1/51/5

3/53/5

Model Prediction

Expected Goals

Lokomotiv Moscow: 1.6

Expected Goals

Rubin Kazan: 1.08

Lokomotiv Moscow

50%

Draw

23%

Rubin Kazan

27%

Over 2.5: 46%

BTTS: 50%

Quality: high

Market Odds (1X2)

Vig 4.1%

1 — Lokomotiv Moscow

2.00▼

Implied 48%

Edge +2.0%

3.60▲

Implied 27%

Edge -3.7%

2 — Rubin Kazan

3.80▲

Implied 25%

Edge +1.7%

Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.

Team 1 Form

Lokomotiv Moscow · # = league position now

29 Oct2026

Cska Moscow#3 vs Lokomotiv Moscow#13

3-1L

25 Oct2026

fk Rostov#7 vs Lokomotiv Moscow#13

2-0L

17 Oct2026

Lokomotiv Moscow#13 vs Krasnodar#4

3-3D

13 Oct2026

Lokomotiv Moscow#13 vs Akron Togliatti#12

1-1D

10 Oct2026

Fakel Voronezh#16 vs Lokomotiv Moscow#13

0-5W

03 Oct2026

Lokomotiv Moscow#13 vs Orenburg#6

2-0W

26 Sept2026

Lokomotiv Moscow#13 vs Arsenal Tula#10

0-2L

16 Sept2026

Lokomotiv Moscow#13 vs Krylya Sovetov#8

1-1D

12 Sept2026

Zenit#1 vs Lokomotiv Moscow#13

2-1L

06 Sept2026

Baltika#9 vs Lokomotiv Moscow#13

0-1W

Team 2 Form

Rubin Kazan · # = league position now

28 Oct2026

Spartak Moscow#5 vs Rubin Kazan#11

1-0L

24 Oct2026

Rubin Kazan#11 vs Krylya Sovetov#8

0-2L

18 Oct2026

Spartak Moscow#5 vs Rubin Kazan#11

4-0L

15 Oct2026

Rubin Kazan#11 vs Orenburg#6

1-4L

11 Oct2026

Rubin Kazan#11 vs Dynamo Moscow#2

0-1L

16 Sept2026

Rodina Moscow#15 vs Rubin Kazan#11

1-1D

12 Sept2026

Cska Moscow#3 vs Rubin Kazan#11

1-1D

07 Sept2026

Rubin Kazan#11 vs Akhmat Grozny#14

1-1D

02 Sept2026

Orenburg#6 vs Rubin Kazan#11

1-1D

30 Aug2026

Rubin Kazan#11 vs Dynamo Makhachkala#10

3-1W

Head-to-Head

Last 10 · # = league position now

18 Jul2026