Livingston vs Arbroath

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Livingston favourites at 61% (Arbroath 17%, draw 22%). That rests on expected goals of 1.68 to 0.73 and 3 wins from the last 4 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams scoring at 36%. Livingston won 1-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Arbroath have lost 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 29 Aug 2026, when Arbroath won 1-0.
• 3 of the last 4 meetings had three or more goals.