Liverpool vs Leeds

Match preview

The model makes Liverpool favourites at 56% (Leeds 24%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 1.88 to 1.14, Liverpool sitting 4th in the table to Leeds's 9th, 6 wins in Liverpool's last 10 matches to 2 for Leeds and 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. It puts over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams scoring at 60%.

Key facts

• They last met on 2 Aug 2026, when Leeds won 4-2.
• Leeds concede 2.2 goals a game away from home.