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Football · Ekstraklasa · Poland

Legia vs Lech Poznan

Sunday, 25 October 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes Legia favourites at 44% (Lech Poznan 36%, draw 20%). Bookmakers give Legia about 36% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams scoring at 68%.

Key facts

  • Legia are unbeaten in 7 matches.
  • Both teams scored in 8 of Legia's last 10 matches and 7 of Lech Poznan's.
  • Legia are 3rd in Ekstraklasa on 23 points from 11 games; Lech Poznan are 2nd on 25.
  • They last met on 26 Apr 2026, when Lech Poznan won 4-0.
Poland•Ekstraklasa
Legia(2)
Rank 3 · 23 pts
D7d
W13d
W21d
W28d
W34d
D41d
W49d
L53d
D57d
D63d
5W · 4D · 1L
vs
Lech Poznan(3)
Rank 2 · 25 pts
D2d
W6d
L9d
W14d
D21d
W34d
L37d
L42d
W48d
W51d
5W · 2D · 3L
Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 19:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 2-5-3
Last 10 matches
1010
21/1322/17
2.102.20
1.301.70
9/108/10
5/105/10
9/109/10
3/104/10
1/101/10
1/102/10
10/109/10
5/108/10
8/107/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Legia at homeLech Poznan away
43
2/41/3
2/40/3
0/42/3
2.251.67
0.752.33
4/42/3
2/41/3
1/41/3
3/43/3
0/42/3
1/40/3
0/41/3
1/43/3
3/42/3
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Legia: 1.93
Expected Goals
Lech Poznan: 1.72
Legia
44%
Draw
20%
Lech Poznan
36%
Over 2.5: 68%
BTTS: 68%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 8.6%
1 — Legia
2.55▲
Implied 36%
Edge +7.9%
X
3.50
Implied 26%
Edge -6.3%
2 — Lech Poznan
2.45▼
Implied 38%
Edge -1.6%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Legia · # = league position now
17 Oct2026
Cracovia#12 vs Legia#3
1-1D
11 Oct2026
Legia#3 vs Wisla#8
2-0W
03 Oct2026
Legia#3 vs Korona Kielce#9
5-1W
26 Sept2026
Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Legia#3
2-4W
20 Sept2026
Jagiellonia#13 vs Legia#3
1-3W
13 Sept2026
Legia#3 vs Widzew Lodz#14
1-1D
05 Sept2026
Motor Lublin#11 vs Legia#3
2-3W
01 Sept2026
Motor Lublin#11 vs Legia#3
3-0L
28 Aug2026
Legia#3 vs Slask Wroclaw#17
1-1D
22 Aug2026
Piast Gliwice#5 vs Legia#3
1-1D
Team 2 Form
Lech Poznan · # = league position now
22 Oct2026
Lech Poznan#2 vs Sunderland#20
1-1D
18 Oct2026
Lech Poznan#2 vs Korona Kielce#9
6-1W
15 Oct2026
Lech Poznan#2 vs Bayer Leverkusen#4
0-4L
10 Oct2026
Slask Wroclaw#17 vs Lech Poznan#2
1-4W
03 Oct2026
Lech Poznan#2 vs Cottbus#8
2-2D
20 Sept2026
Lech Poznan#2 vs Radomiak Radom#16
5-1W
17 Sept2026
Crystal Palace#14 vs Lech Poznan#2
4-0L
12 Sept2026
Gornik Zabrze#1 vs Lech Poznan#2
2-1L
06 Sept2026
Lech Poznan#2 vs Rakow#18
1-0W
03 Sept2026
Lech Poznan#2 vs Jagiellonia#13
2-1W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
26 Apr2026
Lech Poznan#2 vs Legia#3
4-0•
26 Oct2025
Legia#3 vs Lech Poznan#2
0-0•
13 Jul2025
Lech Poznan#2 vs Legia#3
1-2•
11 May2025
Legia#3 vs Lech Poznan#2
0-1•
10 Nov2024
Lech Poznan#2 vs Legia#3
5-2•
12 May2024
Lech Poznan#2 vs Legia#3
1-2•
12 Nov2023
Legia#3 vs Lech Poznan#2
0-0•
16 Apr2023
Legia#3 vs Lech Poznan#2
2-2•
01 Oct2022
Lech Poznan#2 vs Legia#3
0-0•
09 Apr2022
Lech Poznan#2 vs Legia#3
1-1•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now

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