Football · Ekstraklasa · Poland
Gornik Zabrze vs Legia
Friday, 30 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Legia favourites at 47% (Gornik Zabrze 32%, draw 21%). That rests on 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. Bookmakers give Legia about 32% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams scoring at 71%.
Key facts
- Legia are unbeaten in 7 matches.
- Gornik Zabrze are 1st in Ekstraklasa on 27 points from 12 games; Legia are 3rd on 23.
- They last met on 11 Apr 2026, when it finished 1-1.
Poland•Ekstraklasa
vs
Friday, 30 October 2026 at 22:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 2-3-5
Last 10 matches
1010
14/1021/13
1.402.10
1.001.30
8/109/10
5/105/10
7/109/10
2/103/10
3/101/10
2/101/10
8/1010/10
4/105/10
6/108/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Gornik Zabrze at homeLegia away
46
1/43/6
1/42/6
2/41/6
1.252.00
1.751.67
3/45/6
2/43/6
0/43/6
4/46/6
2/43/6
0/40/6
1/41/6
2/44/6
3/45/6
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Gornik Zabrze: 1.38
Expected Goals
Legia: 1.71
Gornik Zabrze
32%
Draw
21%
Legia
47%
Over 2.5: 57%
BTTS: 71%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 6.8%
1 — Gornik Zabrze
2.30
Implied 41%
Edge -8.7%
X
3.40▲
Implied 28%
Edge -6.5%
2 — Legia
2.95▲
Implied 32%
Edge +15.3%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Gornik Zabrze · # = league position now
23 Oct2026
Widzew Lodz#14 vs Gornik Zabrze#1
1-1D
18 Oct2026
Gornik Zabrze#1 vs Piast Gliwice#5
1-1D
10 Oct2026
Jagiellonia#13 vs Gornik Zabrze#1
1-3W
02 Oct2026
Gornik Zabrze#1 vs Odra Opole
0-2L
19 Sept2026
Motor Lublin#11 vs Gornik Zabrze#1
0-0D
15 Sept2026
Korona Kielce#9 vs Gornik Zabrze#1
0-2W
12 Sept2026
Gornik Zabrze#1 vs Lech Poznan#2
2-1W
06 Sept2026
Cracovia#12 vs Gornik Zabrze#1
0-1W
03 Sept2026
Rakow#18 vs Gornik Zabrze#1
1-2W
30 Aug2026
Gornik Zabrze#1 vs Gks Katowice#7
2-3L
Team 2 Form
Legia · # = league position now
17 Oct2026
Cracovia#12 vs Legia#3
1-1D
11 Oct2026
Legia#3 vs Wisla#8
2-0W
03 Oct2026
Legia#3 vs Korona Kielce#9
5-1W
26 Sept2026
Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Legia#3
2-4W
20 Sept2026
Jagiellonia#13 vs Legia#3
1-3W
13 Sept2026
Legia#3 vs Widzew Lodz#14
1-1D
05 Sept2026
Motor Lublin#11 vs Legia#3
2-3W
01 Sept2026
Motor Lublin#11 vs Legia#3
3-0L
28 Aug2026
Legia#3 vs Slask Wroclaw#17
1-1D
22 Aug2026
Piast Gliwice#5 vs Legia#3
1-1D
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
11 Apr2026
Legia#3 vs Gornik Zabrze#1
1-1•
05 Oct2025
Gornik Zabrze#1 vs Legia#3
3-1•
06 Apr2025
Gornik Zabrze#1 vs Legia#3
1-2•
28 Sept2024
Legia#3 vs Gornik Zabrze#1
1-1•
01 Apr2024
Gornik Zabrze#1 vs Legia#3
1-3•
24 Sept2023
Legia#3 vs Gornik Zabrze#1
2-1•
04 Mar2023
Gornik Zabrze#1 vs Legia#3
0-1•
19 Aug2022
Legia#3 vs Gornik Zabrze#1
2-2•
06 May2022
Legia#3 vs Gornik Zabrze#1
5-3•
21 Nov2021
Gornik Zabrze#1 vs Legia#3
3-2•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Gornik Zabrze
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