Lech Poznan vs Sunderland

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Sunderland favourites at 46% (Lech Poznan 34%, draw 20%). Lech Poznan come in with the better recent form (6 wins from 10 to 4), which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams scoring at 63%. It ended 1-1, a draw the model had put at 20%.