Le Mans vs Lens

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Lens favourites at 52% (Le Mans 27%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.85 to 1.24 and 6 wins in Lens's last 10 matches to 3 for Le Mans. It put over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams scoring at 64%. It ended 2-2, a draw the model had put at 21%.

Key facts before the match

• Le Mans have gone 6 matches without a win.
• They last met on 27 Jul 2019, when Lens won 2-1.
• 9 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.