Football · Serie A · Italy
Inter vs Fiorentina
Sunday, 25 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Inter favourites at 79% (Fiorentina 9%, draw 12%). That rests on expected goals of 2.98 to 0.92, Inter sitting 1st in the table to Fiorentina's 18th, 7 wins in Inter's last 10 matches to 3 for Fiorentina and 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. Bookmakers give Inter about 71% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 73% and both teams scoring at 55%.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals came in 7 of Inter's last 10 matches and 8 of Fiorentina's.
- Inter scored in every one of their last 10 matches.
- Inter have scored in all of their last 6 home games.
- Inter average 2.83 goals a game at home.
- They last met on 22 Mar 2026, when it finished 1-1.
Italy•Serie A
vs
Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 14:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 6-2-2
Last 10 matches
1010
24/1416/19
2.401.60
1.401.90
10/108/10
7/103/10
6/109/10
5/106/10
4/101/10
0/102/10
8/1010/10
7/108/10
6/107/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Inter at homeFiorentina away
63
5/61/3
0/60/3
1/62/3
2.831.67
1.502.67
6/62/3
5/61/3
4/61/3
3/63/3
3/63/3
3/60/3
0/61/3
4/63/3
3/62/3
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Inter: 2.98
Expected Goals
Fiorentina: 0.92
Inter
79%
Draw
12%
Fiorentina
9%
Over 2.5: 73%
BTTS: 55%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 4.4%
1 — Inter
1.35▼
Implied 71%
Edge +8.1%
X
5.70▲
Implied 17%
Edge -4.8%
2 — Fiorentina
7.80▲
Implied 12%
Edge -3.3%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Inter · # = league position now
21 Oct2026
Inter#1 vs Shakhtar Donetsk#17
1-0W
17 Oct2026
Bologna#15 vs Inter#1
1-3W
13 Oct2026
Inter#1 vs Club Brugge kv#2
3-4L
10 Oct2026
Inter#1 vs Parma#19
3-0W
03 Oct2026
Inter#1 vs Lumezzane
2-0W
19 Sept2026
as Roma#3 vs Inter#1
2-2D
14 Sept2026
Inter#1 vs Udinese#16
5-3W
08 Sept2026
Real Madrid#3 vs Inter#1
2-1L
05 Sept2026
Inter#1 vs Napoli#10
3-2W
30 Aug2026
Cagliari#7 vs Inter#1
0-1W
Team 2 Form
Fiorentina · # = league position now
18 Oct2026
Fiorentina#18 vs Como#5
1-3L
10 Oct2026
Genoa#17 vs Fiorentina#18
2-1L
20 Sept2026
Fiorentina#18 vs Napoli#10
1-1D
15 Sept2026
Fiorentina#18 vs Pisa#3
3-0W
11 Sept2026
Venezia#20 vs Fiorentina#18
2-4W
05 Sept2026
Fiorentina#18 vs Torino#8
1-2L
29 Aug2026
Fiorentina#18 vs Frosinone#6
0-3L
24 Aug2026
as Roma#3 vs Fiorentina#18
4-0L
14 Aug2026
Fiorentina#18 vs Benevento#8
4-1W
06 Aug2026
Fiorentina#18 vs Dep. a Coruna#9
1-1D
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
22 Mar2026
Fiorentina#18 vs Inter#1
1-1•
29 Oct2025
Inter#1 vs Fiorentina#18
3-0•
10 Feb2025
Inter#1 vs Fiorentina#18
2-1•
06 Feb2025
Fiorentina#18 vs Inter#1
3-0•
28 Jan2024
Fiorentina#18 vs Inter#1
0-1•
03 Sept2023
Inter#1 vs Fiorentina#18
4-0•
24 May2023
Fiorentina#18 vs Inter#1
1-2•
01 Apr2023
Inter#1 vs Fiorentina#18
0-1•
22 Oct2022
Fiorentina#18 vs Inter#1
3-4•
19 Mar2022
Inter#1 vs Fiorentina#18
1-1•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Inter
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