Hornchurch vs Aldershot

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Aldershot favourites at 47% (Hornchurch 28%, draw 25%). That rests on expected goals of 1.39 to 0.98. It put over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams scoring at 47%. Hornchurch won 2-1, against the model's 47% for Aldershot.