Hoffenheim vs Dortmund

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Dortmund favourites at 52% (Hoffenheim 28%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 1.96 to 1.40 and 7 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. It put over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams scoring at 59%. Dortmund won 3-2, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 18 Apr 2026, when Hoffenheim won 2-1.