Freiburg vs Hoffenheim

Match preview

The model makes Freiburg favourites at 62% (Hoffenheim 20%, draw 18%). That rests on expected goals of 2.16 to 1.13, Freiburg sitting 3rd in the table to Hoffenheim's 9th, 7 wins in Freiburg's last 10 matches to 4 for Hoffenheim and 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. It puts over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams scoring at 68%.

Key facts

• Freiburg have won 4 matches in a row.
• Over 2.5 goals came in 8 of Freiburg's last 10 matches and 7 of Hoffenheim's.
• Freiburg have scored in all of their last 6 home games.
• Freiburg average 2.5 goals a game at home.
• Both teams scored in 7 of Freiburg's last 10 matches and 7 of Hoffenheim's.