HEBC Hamburg vs Dortmund

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Dortmund favourites at 61% (HEBC Hamburg 19%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 1.89 to 0.92 and 6 wins in Dortmund's last 10 matches to 2 for HEBC Hamburg. It put over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams scoring at 50%. Dortmund won 5-0, as the model expected.