Groningen vs Ajax

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Ajax favourites at 56% (Groningen 26%, draw 18%). That rests on expected goals of 2.49 to 1.68 and 8 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 78% and both teams scoring at 76%. Ajax won 5-2, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 21 May 2026, when Ajax won 2-0.
• 8 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.