Genoa vs Fiorentina

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Fiorentina favourites at 63% (Genoa 19%, draw 18%). That rests on expected goals of 2.15 to 1.08, 4 wins in Fiorentina's last 10 matches to 2 for Genoa and 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 0. It put over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams scoring at 59%. Genoa won 2-1, against the model's 63% for Fiorentina.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 10 May 2026, when it finished 0-0.