Gateshead vs Stafford

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Stafford favourites at 64% (Gateshead 18%, draw 18%). That rests on expected goals of 2.13 to 1.02 and 6 wins in Stafford's last 10 matches to 0 for Gateshead. It put over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams scoring at 52%. It ended 1-1, a draw the model had put at 18%.

Key facts before the match

• Gateshead have gone 10 matches without a win.
• They last met on 4 Apr 2009, when Stafford won 4-1.