Football · UEFA Nations League · Europe
France vs Italy
Friday, 02 October 2026
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.Final score
France1-1Italy
- 1ST HALF
- 0-0
- 2ND HALF
- 1-1
Prediction and result
Before kickoff, the model made France favourites at 42% (Italy 36%, draw 22%). That rests on 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. It put over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams scoring at 58%. It ended 1-1, a draw the model had put at 22%.
Key facts before the match
- They last met on 17 Nov 2024, when France won 3-1.
Europe•UEFA Nations League

France(6)
W45d
W48d
L116d
L121d
W126d
W130d
W134d
W139d
W142d
W149d

Italy(2)
W45d
L48d
W158d
W162d
D226d
W231d
L361d
W364d
W394d
W397d
Friday, 02 October 2026 at 21:45
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.Final score
France1-1Italy
- 1ST HALF
- 0-0
- 2ND HALF
- 1-1
H2H: 6-2-2
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
France at homeItaly away
66
4/65/6
0/61/6
2/60/6
2.502.00
1.500.50
5/66/6
5/63/6
4/62/6
3/63/6
2/60/6
3/63/6
1/60/6
4/62/6
2/63/6
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
France: 1.58
Expected Goals
Italy: 1.46
France
42%
Draw
22%
Italy
36%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 58%
Quality: high
Team 1 Form
France · # = league position now
28 Sept2026
Belgium#3 vs France#1
0-1W
25 Sept2026
Turkey#4 vs France#1
0-1W
19 Jul2026
France#1 vs England#2
4-6L
14 Jul2026
France#1 vs Spain#1
0-2L
09 Jul2026
France#1 vs Morocco#2
2-0W
05 Jul2026
Paraguay#3 vs France#1
0-1W
01 Jul2026
France#1 vs Sweden#3
3-0W
26 Jun2026
Norway#4 vs France#1
1-4W
23 Jun2026
France#1 vs Iraq#4
3-0W
16 Jun2026
France#1 vs Senegal#3
3-1W
Team 2 Form
Italy · # = league position now
28 Sept2026
Turkey#4 vs Italy#2
1-4W
25 Sept2026
Italy#2 vs Belgium#3
0-2L
07 Jun2026
Greece#2 vs Italy#2
0-1W
03 Jun2026
Luxembourg vs Italy#2
0-1W
31 Mar2026
Bosnia & Herzegovina#3 vs Italy#2
1-1D
26 Mar2026
Italy#2 vs Northern Ireland
2-0W
16 Nov2025
Italy#2 vs Norway#4
1-4L
13 Nov2025
Moldova vs Italy#2
0-2W
14 Oct2025
Italy#2 vs Israel
3-0W
11 Oct2025
Estonia vs Italy#2
1-3W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
17 Nov2024
Italy#2 vs France#1
1-3•
06 Sept2024
France#1 vs Italy#2
1-3•
01 Jun2018
France#1 vs Italy#2
3-1•
01 Sept2016
Italy#2 vs France#1
1-3•
14 Nov2012
Italy#2 vs France#1
1-2•
17 Jun2008
France#1 vs Italy#2
0-2•
08 Sept2007
Italy#2 vs France#1
0-0•
06 Sept2006
France#1 vs Italy#2
3-1•
09 Jul2006
Italy#2 vs France#1
1-1•
02 Jul2000
France#1 vs Italy#2
2-1•
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