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Football · UEFA Nations League · Europe

France vs Italy

Friday, 02 October 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
France1-1Italy
1ST HALF
0-0
2ND HALF
1-1

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made France favourites at 42% (Italy 36%, draw 22%). That rests on 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. It put over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams scoring at 58%. It ended 1-1, a draw the model had put at 22%.

Key facts before the match

  • They last met on 17 Nov 2024, when France won 3-1.
Europe•UEFA Nations League
W45d
W48d
L116d
L121d
W126d
W130d
W134d
W139d
W142d
W149d
8W · 0D · 2L
vs
W45d
L48d
W158d
W162d
D226d
W231d
L361d
W364d
W394d
W397d
7W · 1D · 2L
Friday, 02 October 2026 at 21:45
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
France1-1Italy
1ST HALF
0-0
2ND HALF
1-1
H2H: 6-2-2
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
France at homeItaly away
66
4/65/6
0/61/6
2/60/6
2.502.00
1.500.50
5/66/6
5/63/6
4/62/6
3/63/6
2/60/6
3/63/6
1/60/6
4/62/6
2/63/6
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
France: 1.58
Expected Goals
Italy: 1.46
France
42%
Draw
22%
Italy
36%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 58%
Quality: high
Team 1 Form
France · # = league position now
28 Sept2026
Belgium#3 vs France#1
0-1W
25 Sept2026
Turkey#4 vs France#1
0-1W
19 Jul2026
France#1 vs England#2
4-6L
14 Jul2026
France#1 vs Spain#1
0-2L
09 Jul2026
France#1 vs Morocco#2
2-0W
05 Jul2026
Paraguay#3 vs France#1
0-1W
01 Jul2026
France#1 vs Sweden#3
3-0W
26 Jun2026
Norway#4 vs France#1
1-4W
23 Jun2026
France#1 vs Iraq#4
3-0W
16 Jun2026
France#1 vs Senegal#3
3-1W
Team 2 Form
Italy · # = league position now
28 Sept2026
Turkey#4 vs Italy#2
1-4W
25 Sept2026
Italy#2 vs Belgium#3
0-2L
07 Jun2026
Greece#2 vs Italy#2
0-1W
03 Jun2026
Luxembourg vs Italy#2
0-1W
31 Mar2026
Bosnia & Herzegovina#3 vs Italy#2
1-1D
26 Mar2026
Italy#2 vs Northern Ireland
2-0W
16 Nov2025
Italy#2 vs Norway#4
1-4L
13 Nov2025
Moldova vs Italy#2
0-2W
14 Oct2025
Italy#2 vs Israel
3-0W
11 Oct2025
Estonia vs Italy#2
1-3W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
17 Nov2024
Italy#2 vs France#1
1-3•
06 Sept2024
France#1 vs Italy#2
1-3•
01 Jun2018
France#1 vs Italy#2
3-1•
01 Sept2016
Italy#2 vs France#1
1-3•
14 Nov2012
Italy#2 vs France#1
1-2•
17 Jun2008
France#1 vs Italy#2
0-2•
08 Sept2007
Italy#2 vs France#1
0-0•
06 Sept2006
France#1 vs Italy#2
3-1•
09 Jul2006
Italy#2 vs France#1
1-1•
02 Jul2000
France#1 vs Italy#2
2-1•

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