Excelsior vs Utrecht

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Excelsior favourites at 79% (Utrecht 9%, draw 12%). That rests on expected goals of 2.84 to 0.84 and 8 wins in Excelsior's last 10 matches to 2 for Utrecht. Utrecht lead the head-to-head 4-1, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams scoring at 56%. Utrecht won 2-1, against the model's 79% for Excelsior.

Key facts before the match

• Utrecht have gone 6 matches without a win.
• They last met on 26 Apr 2026, when Excelsior won 5-0.