Elche vs Real Madrid

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Real Madrid favourites at 84% (Elche 5%, draw 11%). That rests on expected goals of 2.65 to 0.48, 8 wins in Real Madrid's last 10 matches to 2 for Elche and 7 wins from the last 10 meetings to 0. It put over 2.5 goals at 73% and both teams scoring at 50%. Real Madrid won 3-2, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Elche have gone 5 matches without a win.
• They last met on 14 Mar 2026, when Real Madrid won 4-1.
• 8 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.