Din. Zagreb vs Nijmegen

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Din. Zagreb favourites at 79% (Nijmegen 8%, draw 13%). That rests on expected goals of 2.55 to 0.62 and 6 wins in Din. Zagreb's last 10 matches to 1 for Nijmegen. It put over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams scoring at 49%. Nijmegen won 4-2, against the model's 79% for Din. Zagreb.

Key facts before the match

• Nijmegen have gone 8 matches without a win.
• They last met on 23 Oct 2008, when Din. Zagreb won 3-2.