Colchester vs Southampton

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Southampton favourites at 49% (Colchester 29%, draw 22%). That rests on expected goals of 1.63 to 1.19 and 6 wins in Southampton's last 10 matches to 3 for Colchester. It put over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 53%. Southampton won 2-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Southampton have won 4 matches in a row.
• They last met on 5 Mar 2011, when Southampton won 2-0.