Charlton vs Derby

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Derby favourites at 46% (Charlton 31%, draw 23%). That rests on 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 3. Charlton come in with the better recent form (5 wins from 10 to 3), which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 56%. Charlton won 2-1, against the model's 46% for Derby.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 20 Jan 2026, when Derby won 2-1.