Ceuta vs Oviedo

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Oviedo favourites at 66% (Ceuta 16%, draw 18%). That rests on expected goals of 2.06 to 0.87 and 5 wins in Oviedo's last 10 matches to 2 for Ceuta. It put over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams scoring at 52%. Oviedo won 2-1, as the model expected.