Celje vs Salzburg

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Salzburg favourites at 78% (Celje 5%, draw 17%). That rests on expected goals of 1.89 to 0.24 and 6 wins in Salzburg's last 10 matches to 2 for Celje. It put over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams scoring at 25%. It ended 2-2, a draw the model had put at 17%.