Carlisle vs Worthing

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Carlisle favourites at 62% (Worthing 18%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 1.88 to 0.89. It put over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams scoring at 50%. Worthing won 3-2, against the model's 62% for Carlisle.

Key facts before the match

• Worthing are unbeaten in 8 matches.