Carlisle vs Sutton

Match preview

The model makes Carlisle favourites at 50% (Sutton 28%, draw 22%). That rests on expected goals of 1.67 to 1.18. Sutton lead the head-to-head 3-1, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It puts over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams scoring at 56%.

Key facts

• Carlisle are 9th in National League on 23 points from 15 games; Sutton are 12th on 21.
• Carlisle have won 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 11 Apr 2026, when Carlisle won 3-0.