Carlisle vs Tamworth

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Carlisle favourites at 51% (Tamworth 29%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 1.94 to 1.40. It put over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams scoring at 70%. Carlisle won 2-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 14 Mar 2026, when Tamworth won 2-1.
• 4 of the last 5 meetings had three or more goals.