Carlisle vs Southend

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Southend favourites at 56% (Carlisle 25%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 2.19 to 1.38. Carlisle lead the head-to-head 5-2, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams scoring at 67%. It ended 2-2, a draw the model had put at 19%.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 7 Mar 2026, when it finished 2-2.