Cardiff vs Watford

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Cardiff favourites at 48% (Watford 28%, draw 24%). That rests on expected goals of 1.48 to 1.03. It put over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 62%. Cardiff won 5-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Watford have lost 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 14 Jan 2025, when it finished 1-1.