Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made AZ Alkmaar favourites at 83% (Cambuur 6%, draw 11%). That rests on expected goals of 2.84 to 0.63, 6 wins in AZ Alkmaar's last 9 matches to 2 for Cambuur and 7 wins from the last 10 meetings to 0. It put over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams scoring at 46%. It ended 2-2, a draw the model had put at 11%.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 25 Feb 2023, when AZ Alkmaar won 2-1.