Burnley vs Bristol City

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Bristol City favourites at 64% (Burnley 17%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 2.04 to 0.90 and 4 wins in Bristol City's last 10 matches to 0 for Burnley. Burnley lead the head-to-head 9-0, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams scoring at 55%. Bristol City won 2-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Burnley have gone 10 matches without a win.
• They last met on 29 Mar 2025, when Burnley won 1-0.