Bradford City vs Burnley

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Bradford City favourites at 63% (Burnley 18%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 2.05 to 0.99 and 7 wins in Bradford City's last 10 matches to 0 for Burnley. Burnley lead the head-to-head 5-1, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams scoring at 56%. It ended 0-0, a draw the model had put at 19%.

Key facts before the match

• Burnley have gone 10 matches without a win.
• Bradford City have won 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 23 Jul 2016, when Burnley won 4-1.