Bolton vs West Ham

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made West Ham favourites at 68% (Bolton 13%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 1.90 to 0.65 and 5 wins in West Ham's last 10 matches to 3 for Bolton. Bolton lead the head-to-head 8-1, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams scoring at 50%. West Ham won 3-2, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Bolton have lost 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 19 Sept 2017, when West Ham won 3-0.
• 8 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.