Benfica vs Vitoria Guimaraes

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Benfica favourites at 87% (Vitoria Guimaraes 3%, draw 10%). That rests on expected goals of 2.58 to 0.24, 8 wins in Benfica's last 10 matches to 3 for Vitoria Guimaraes and 7 wins from the last 10 meetings to 0. It put over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams scoring at 28%. Benfica won 2-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 21 Mar 2026, when Benfica won 3-0.
• 8 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.