Football · Liga Portugal · Portugal
Santa Clara vs Benfica
Monday, 26 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Benfica favourites at 54% (Santa Clara 25%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.84 to 1.18, 9 wins in Benfica's last 10 matches to 6 for Santa Clara and 9 wins from the last 10 meetings to 0. Bookmakers give Benfica about 68% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams scoring at 54%.
Key facts
- Santa Clara kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
- Benfica scored in every one of their last 10 matches.
- Santa Clara are 4th in Liga Portugal on 18 points from 8 games; Benfica are 2nd on 19.
- Benfica have won 3 matches in a row.
- They last met on 13 Feb 2026, when Benfica won 2-1.
Portugal•Liga Portugal
vs
Monday, 26 October 2026 at 21:45
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 0-1-9
Last 10 matches
1010
17/728/8
1.702.80
0.700.80
9/1010/10
5/109/10
4/106/10
2/101/10
6/104/10
1/100/10
6/1010/10
5/108/10
4/106/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Santa Clara at homeBenfica away
56
3/55/6
2/50/6
0/51/6
2.002.83
0.400.83
4/56/6
3/55/6
2/54/6
1/53/6
1/51/6
4/53/6
1/50/6
3/55/6
1/53/6
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Santa Clara: 1.18
Expected Goals
Benfica: 1.84
Santa Clara
25%
Draw
21%
Benfica
54%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 54%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 6.6%
1 — Santa Clara
8.40▲
Implied 11%
Edge +13.8%
X
4.60▼
Implied 20%
Edge +0.6%
2 — Benfica
1.37
Implied 68%
Edge -14.4%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Santa Clara · # = league position now
18 Oct2026
Mafra vs Santa Clara#4
3-2L
10 Oct2026
Casa Pia#17 vs Santa Clara#4
0-1W
20 Sept2026
Santa Clara#4 vs Braga#9
0-0D
13 Sept2026
Arouca#5 vs Santa Clara#4
1-2W
06 Sept2026
Santa Clara#4 vs Rio Ave#15
4-0W
29 Aug2026
Alverca#8 vs Santa Clara#4
1-1D
23 Aug2026
Santa Clara#4 vs Famalicao#14
1-0W
15 Aug2026
Academico Viseu#7 vs Santa Clara#4
0-1W
10 Aug2026
Santa Clara#4 vs Nacional#16
2-2D
25 Jul2026
Santa Clara#4 vs Arouca#5
3-0W
Team 2 Form
Benfica · # = league position now
22 Oct2026
Omonia#3 vs Benfica#2
1-4W
15 Oct2026
Benfica#2 vs Celtic#1
4-1W
11 Oct2026
Benfica#2 vs Vitoria Guimaraes#11
2-0W
20 Sept2026
fc Porto#1 vs Benfica#2
3-1L
16 Sept2026
ac Milan#4 vs Benfica#2
0-2W
13 Sept2026
Benfica#2 vs Gil Vicente#6
3-1W
09 Sept2026
Moreirense#12 vs Benfica#2
0-4W
05 Sept2026
Maritimo#13 vs Benfica#2
0-3W
31 Aug2026
Benfica#2 vs Estoril#18
2-1W
27 Aug2026
Aarhus#10 vs Benfica#2
1-3W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
13 Feb2026
Santa Clara#4 vs Benfica#2
1-2•
12 Sept2025
Benfica#2 vs Santa Clara#4
1-1•
15 Feb2025
Santa Clara#4 vs Benfica#2
0-1•
30 Oct2024
Benfica#2 vs Santa Clara#4
3-0•
14 Sept2024
Benfica#2 vs Santa Clara#4
4-1•
27 May2023
Benfica#2 vs Santa Clara#4
3-0•
21 Jan2023
Santa Clara#4 vs Benfica#2
0-3•
12 Feb2022
Benfica#2 vs Santa Clara#4
2-1•
11 Sept2021
Santa Clara#4 vs Benfica#2
0-5•
26 Apr2021
Benfica#2 vs Santa Clara#4
2-1•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Santa Clara
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