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Football · DFB Pokal · Germany

Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig

Wednesday, 02 December 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes Bayer Leverkusen favourites at 54% (RB Leipzig 28%, draw 18%). That rests on expected goals of 2.31 to 1.65 and 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 3. Bookmakers give Bayer Leverkusen about 53% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view. It puts over 2.5 goals at 76% and both teams scoring at 67%.

Key facts

  • Over 2.5 goals came in 7 of Bayer Leverkusen's last 10 matches and 7 of RB Leipzig's.
  • Bayer Leverkusen have scored in all of their last 5 home games.
  • Bayer Leverkusen average 2.6 goals a game at home.
  • RB Leipzig kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
  • They last met on 20 Sept 2026, when Bayer Leverkusen won 2-0.
Germany•DFB Pokal
Bayer Leverkusen(6)
L6d
W9d
L12d
W15d
W19d
W22d
W27d
W47d
W51d
D55d
7W · 1D · 2L
vs
rb Leipzig(3)
L2d
W6d
W10d
W13d
L16d
L20d
W24d
W27d
L47d
W54d
6W · 0D · 4L
Wednesday, 02 December 2026 at 20:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 6-1-3
Last 10 matches
1010
25/1524/16
2.502.40
1.501.60
9/109/10
9/106/10
6/105/10
5/104/10
4/105/10
1/101/10
10/109/10
7/107/10
5/104/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Bayer Leverkusen at homerb Leipzig away
55
4/52/5
0/50/5
1/53/5
2.601.20
1.402.60
5/54/5
5/52/5
1/50/5
3/54/5
2/53/5
2/51/5
0/51/5
3/53/5
3/53/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Bayer Leverkusen: 2.31
Expected Goals
rb Leipzig: 1.65
Bayer Leverkusen
54%
Draw
18%
rb Leipzig
28%
Over 2.5: 76%
BTTS: 67%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 5.6%
1 — Bayer Leverkusen
1.80
Implied 53%
Edge +1.4%
X
4.50▲
Implied 21%
Edge -3.1%
2 — RB Leipzig
3.60▼
Implied 26%
Edge +1.7%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Bayer Leverkusen · # = league position now
31 Oct2026
Bayer Leverkusen#6 vs Stuttgart#11
2-4L
28 Oct2026
Bayer Leverkusen#6 vs Nurnberg#2
5-2W
25 Oct2026
Hoffenheim#12 vs Bayer Leverkusen#6
3-0L
22 Oct2026
Ofi Crete#7 vs Bayer Leverkusen#6
0-2W
18 Oct2026
Bayer Leverkusen#6 vs Freiburg#3
2-1W
15 Oct2026
Lech Poznan#1 vs Bayer Leverkusen#6
0-4W
10 Oct2026
Mainz#9 vs Bayer Leverkusen#6
3-4W
20 Sept2026
Bayer Leverkusen#6 vs rb Leipzig#4
2-0W
16 Sept2026
Bayer Leverkusen#6 vs Celje#29
2-0W
12 Sept2026
Augsburg#10 vs Bayer Leverkusen#6
2-2D
Team 2 Form
rb Leipzig · # = league position now
04 Nov2026
rb Leipzig#4 vs Manchester City#2
2-3L
31 Oct2026
Schalke#17 vs rb Leipzig#4
0-2W
27 Oct2026
rw Essen vs rb Leipzig#4
1-2W
24 Oct2026
rb Leipzig#4 vs Elversberg#7
4-0W
21 Oct2026
Real Madrid#3 vs rb Leipzig#4
4-1L
17 Oct2026
Bayern Munich#1 vs rb Leipzig#4
6-1L
13 Oct2026
rb Leipzig#4 vs Psv#3
1-0W
10 Oct2026
rb Leipzig#4 vs Eintracht Frankfurt#8
6-0W
20 Sept2026
Bayer Leverkusen#6 vs rb Leipzig#4
2-0L
13 Sept2026
rb Leipzig#4 vs Hamburger sv#15
5-0W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
20 Sept2026
Bayer Leverkusen#6 vs rb Leipzig#4
2-0•
02 May2026
Bayer Leverkusen#6 vs rb Leipzig#4
4-1•
20 Dec2025
rb Leipzig#4 vs Bayer Leverkusen#6
1-3•
25 Jan2025
rb Leipzig#4 vs Bayer Leverkusen#6
2-2•
31 Aug2024
Bayer Leverkusen#6 vs rb Leipzig#4
2-3•
20 Jan2024
rb Leipzig#4 vs Bayer Leverkusen#6
2-3•
19 Aug2023
Bayer Leverkusen#6 vs rb Leipzig#4
3-2•
23 Apr2023
Bayer Leverkusen#6 vs rb Leipzig#4
2-0•
29 Oct2022
rb Leipzig#4 vs Bayer Leverkusen#6
2-0•
17 Apr2022
Bayer Leverkusen#6 vs rb Leipzig#4
0-1•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now

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