Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Barcelona favourites at 78% (Rayo Vallecano 8%, draw 14%). That rests on expected goals of 2.46 to 0.64 and 7 wins in Barcelona's last 10 matches to 3 for Rayo Vallecano. It put over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams scoring at 51%. Barcelona won 5-2, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Barcelona have won 4 matches in a row.
• They last met on 22 Mar 2026, when Barcelona won 1-0.