Ayr vs Dunfermline

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Dunfermline favourites at 48% (Ayr 25%, draw 27%). That rests on expected goals of 1.22 to 0.77. Ayr lead the head-to-head 5-2, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 34% and both teams scoring at 39%. It ended 1-1, a draw the model had put at 27%.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 8 Aug 2026, when it finished 1-1.